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Saudi Aramco CEO says ‘the worst is behind us’ for oil By Reuters

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© Reuters. International Carbon Capture, Utilization and Storage Conference 2020 in Riyadh

DUBAI (Reuters) – Saudi Aramco (SE:) Chief Executive Amin Nasser said on Tuesday that “the worst is definitely behind us” for the oil market, as global oil demand is recovering and is currently at 90 million barrels per day.

Nasser said oil demand in China is almost back to its pre COVID-19 levels.

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Oil Demand May See Lasting Impact From Pandemic, World Bank Says By Bloomberg

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© Reuters. Oil Demand May See Lasting Impact From Pandemic, World Bank Says

(Bloomberg) — Oil demand could see “lasting impacts” from the coronavirus while modest gains are projected in metals and agriculture prices as commodity markets recover from the shock of the pandemic, according to the World Bank.

The World Bank boosted its projections from April for the average oil price in 2020 and 2021 to $41 a barrel and $44, respectively, as a slow recovery in demand is matched by an easing in supply restrictions. That still leaves prices well below 2019 levels of $61. Outside of energy, a small decline in metal prices will be offset by an increase in agricultural prices this year.

The swift recovery in oil prices following April’s price rout has stalled as the resurgent coronavirus spurs governments to rethink reopening plans. While stimulus can help buffer the impact, Covid-19 presents a challenge to commodity exporters, with policy makers needing to allow their economies to adjust smoothly to a “new normal” should the pandemic persist.

“In the post-Covid world, these countries need to be more aggressive in implementing policies to reduce their reliance on oil revenues,” said Ayhan Kose, director of the World Bank Group’s Prospects Group.

The pandemic could also have “lasting impacts” on oil demand through changes in consumer and employment behavior, according to the report. Air travel could see a permanent reduction, as business travel is curtailed in favor of remote meetings, reducing demand for jet fuel.

The institution expects metals and agriculture will continue to see modest price gains in the coming year, at 2% and 1% respectively, with metals buoyed by China’s rapid economic recovery and agricultural prices boosted by global food-supply disruptions.

The main risk to the price forecasts is the duration of the pandemic, including the risk of an intensifying second wave in the Northern Hemisphere and the speed at which a vaccine is developed and distributed, the World Bank said.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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Putin Says Russia Open to Delaying Planned OPEC+ Output Hike By Bloomberg

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© Reuters. Putin Says Russia Open to Delaying Planned OPEC+ Output Hike

(Bloomberg) — Russia doesn’t rule out delaying scheduled production hikes by the OPEC+ alliance, President Vladimir Putin said, the latest sign the cartel could restrain crude output for longer as the pandemic crimps demand again.

Production cuts are due to be eased — as part of a gradual tapering — from January but the cartel has hinted it may change tack as demand falters. While Putin said his preference was to adhere to the current plan, his comments are a show of unity between Russia and Saudi Arabia, whose leaders have been engaged in intense telephone diplomacy this month.

“We think there is no need to change anything now,” Putin said Thursday in his address to the Kremlin-backed Valdai Club. Yet “we don’t rule out that we may keep the current restrictions on output, that we don’t lift them as soon as we had planned earlier.”

rose after Putin’s remarks. On Friday, prices again retreated on concern that a second wave of the coronavirus may throw the energy demand recovery in Europe and the U.S. into reverse.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, due to add almost 2 million barrels a day starting January, have warned of a precarious outlook, and increasingly traders have signaled the market can’t absorb the extra barrels.

“If necessary, we can take a decision on further cuts,” Putin said. “But so far we simply see no such need.”

United Front

After two phone calls in a week between Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and Putin, the countries’ oil ministers displayed a united front at the last OPEC+ meeting. Their top oil officials, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and Alexander Novak, offered similarly bearish views and the prince called on the cartel to be “proactive” and ready to “head off negative trends and developments — to nip them in the bud.”

OPEC+ ministers will debate whether to stick to their tapering plan — which was decided during the depths of the oil crisis in April — at a meeting scheduled for Nov. 30-Dec. 1. In July, the group delayed by one month a similar production increase amid doubts about the strength of oil demand.

OPEC+ is a complex yet effective mechanism for stabilizing the global oil market, Putin said. “In this fragmented world, such an approach is really way more fruitful,” he said. Cooperation within the alliance “not only allows to solve specific problems but also is able to breathe new life into multilateral diplomacy.”

Putin spoke hours after Rosneft PJSC Chief Executive Officer Igor Sechin — a longtime OPEC+ skeptic — acknowledged that interactions between energy-producing nations are necessary, and called for action to stabilize the market.

Close Ally

While he didn’t mention OPEC+ by name, Sechin said that the world economy — and oil consumption — may start to recover next year, but that “humankind needs to take coordinated actions to achieve such a result.”

Sechin, a close ally of Putin, said in March — during a price war with Saudi Arabia — that Russia’s cooperation with OPEC could be over.

Despite Sechin’s opposition to OPEC+, Rosneft has been cutting its crude production in line with the group’s agreement. Russia’s overall compliance with the OPEC+ deal has been at 96% to 97% in the past two months.

 

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Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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Oil Set for Weekly Drop as Virus Flare-Ups Cloud Demand Outlook By Bloomberg

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© Reuters. Oil Set for Weekly Drop as Virus Flare-Ups Cloud Demand Outlook

(Bloomberg) — Oil held above $40 a barrel on fresh optimism that a U.S. stimulus deal is imminent, although the market is set for a weekly decline amid ongoing pandemic-driven demand concerns.

Futures in New York were little changed, after gaining 1.5% on Thursday. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said she and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin are “just about there” on a deal for a coronavirus relief package, even though Republican opposition in the Senate still poses a hurdle. Prices were also bolstered after President Vladimir Putin said that Russia’s ready to cut oil output further if needed.

Any rally in oil prices still faces resistance from the threat of virus flareups worldwide. In a troubling sign for consumption, Neste Oyj Chief Executive Officer Peter Vanacker said that oil refiners need to cut more capacity, especially in Europe, as demand drops and capacity is added elsewhere. Meanwhile, toll road use in France posted the biggest year-over-year drop last week since July, according to data from Atlantia, which operates such roads.

Putin’s comments on the planned output hikes from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies come as traders are increasingly signaling the market can’t absorb the extra barrels. The group faces a decision on whether to change its output policy at a meeting scheduled for Nov. 30-Dec. 1.

Physical markets are pointing to some signs of weakness. This week, Mars Blend, a high-sulfur crude, traded at a discount to Nymex oil futures this week for the first time since May, before flipping back to a premium in recent sessions. The price differential decline comes as narrow WTI-Brent and WTI-Dubai spreads discourage interest from overseas.

Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:). plans to lay off an unspecified number of employees as low oil prices force the company to delay major projects, Chief Executive Officer Darren Woods said in an email to staff, in the latest sign of struggle among U.S. energy producers navigating the industry’s worst downturn in recent memory.

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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