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India Oil Refiners Increase Run Rates Ahead of Festival Boost By Bloomberg

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(Bloomberg) — Indian oil refiners that have cranked up processing rates in response to a rebound in fuel demand have a seasonal boost to look forward to that not even a rapidly spreading virus is expected to derail.

The nation’s two main festivals — Navratri and Diwali — start mid-October and extend for more than a month, typically increasing demand for consumer goods with more diesel-guzzling trucks hitting the road to deliver everything from clothes to refrigerators. This may lead to refiners boosting already elevated crude processing rates further to meet rising fuel consumption.

Indian Oil Corp., the nation’s top processor, is currently operating its refineries at an average rate of 86% of capacity, compared with 66.7% in August, said a company official who asked not to be identified as the information isn’t public. Bharat Petroleum Corp. is at more than 85%, while Hindustan Petroleum Corp. is already at full capacity, according to company officials.

Spokespeople from the refiners declined to comment.

While China has made strides in containing the pandemic and led the global recovery in fuel demand after lockdowns, India has had far less success in containing the virus with infection rates surging above seven million. However, despite rising cases, people are resuming their daily activities and are even preparing to celebrate the festivities in a big way.

“I doubt there is any fear of the virus,” said K. Ravichandran, senior vice-president at credit assessor ICRA Ltd., the local unit of Moody’s Investors Service. “Crowds are thronging beaches and malls. It may not be back to normal, but people are really loosening the purse strings and you can see the pick up in consumption across sectors.”

See also: Covid, Taxes Eat Away Diesel’s Edge Over Gasoline in India

Across India, overall crude-processing rates at oil refineries are currently above 85% of capacity and inching toward 90%, up from about 76% in August. Gasoline has so far led an uneven fuel rebound as more people opt for their own cars or scooters over public transport to avoid being infected.

Diesel consumption is poised for a much needed boost from the festivities, crop-harvesting activities, as well as stimulus that includes a special interest-free festival advance of up to 10,000 rupees ($136) for each federal government employee.

“Diesel recovery is inching toward normal and the festivals and harvesting seasons will boost demand further,” said R. Ramachandran, the former refineries director at Bharat Petroleum who has almost four decades experience in the Indian refining industry. “Festival season adds at least 10% to India’s overall fuel demand as compared to the rainy season.”

©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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Commodities

Trading Theory—Adding To Winning Trades – Growing Your Money

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Trading Theory—Adding To Winning Trades

When Do You Add To Your Winning Trade? This has always been a very interesting question because it can create a situation of going from rags to riches to riches to rags in a very short amount of time.

Many times I see traders abuse pyramiding or adding to positions with utter lack of any type of money management system in place and letting it ride which usually ends up in a complete wipeout of capital and sometimes even worse.

Commodity prices can move very quickly with large gains or loses like we experienced in 2008 crash of stock and commodity prices, so you always have to use stops and not fall in love or marry a position.

My answer to this question is add only once to the trade if that position has made you at least 1%-2% of your account balance while still having stop losses on all positions that equal 2% loss at a maximum risk.Remember your stop loses will be different on both positions because of the fact that you entered those trades at a different date and price.

 

 

 

If you are looking to contact Michael Seery (CTA—COMMODITY TRADING ADVISOR) at 1-630-408-3325 I will be more than happy to help you with your trading or visit www.seeryfutures.com

 

FREE TRIAL FOR THE LIMIT UP COMMODITY NEWSLETTER

Email: mseery@seeryfutures.com

If you’re looking to open a Trading Account click on this link www.admis.com

Disclaimer: This and other personal blog posts are not reviewed, monitored or endorsed by TalkMarkets. The content is solely the view of the author and TalkMarkets is not responsible for the content of this post in any way. Our curated content which is handpicked by our editorial team may be viewed here.



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Crude Oil Tumbles as OPEC Happy Talk Fails to Quell Demand Fears By Investing.com

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© Reuters.

By Geoffrey Smith 

Investing.com — Crude oil prices fell sharply on Monday in line with other risk assets as the rapid spread of the Covid-19 virus across Europe and the U.S. sparked fears of more demand destruction through restrictions on economic and social activity.

By 11:35 AM ET (1635 GMT), futures were down 3.1% at $38.61 a barrel, their lowest level in three weeks. The international benchmark blend was down 2.8% at $40.88 a barrel, having also hit a three-week low.

U.S. gasoline RBOB futures were down 2.5% at $1.0991 a gallon, testing their lowest in over a month. Data from GasBuddy showed that U.S. demand for gasoline fell by 0.5% last week.

Sentiment was summed up by Patrick Pouyanne, the chief executive of French oil and gas major Total, who told a conference that “globally speaking, the demand is still weak.

“I am afraid that with the second wave we are experiencing in many continents today again, it could be longer [for demand] to recover like everybody hoped,” Pouyanne was quoted by Argus Media as telling the CERA Week conference.

The pressure on the corporate sector was again in evidence, with Canada’s Cenovus and Husky Energy (OTC:) announcing plans to merge over the weekend in a bid to rationalize costs and squeeze more value out of reserves that require relatively high investment to be monetized.

However, as usual, there was no shortage of those willing to talk prices up. Saudi Arabia’s Oil Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman was quoted as telling the same conference as Pouyanne that the essentially cyclical nature of the oil business was unchanged, and that low prices and low capital spending now would beget high prices in the future.

In the same vein, Indian Oil Corp. Chairman Shrikant Madhav Vaidya told S&P Global Platts in an interview that Indian product demand is now rebounding strongly after a wretched couple of months due to the virus. India has one of the world’s highest death tolls from Covid-19, after the U.S.

Likewise, OPEC Secretary General Mohammed Barkindo hinted CERA Week that the OPEC+ bloc of producers that a deferral of a scheduled increase in output at the end of the year is still possible, stressing that that the group will “adapt to the changing realities.”

“We are determined to assist the market to restore stability by ensuring that the stock drawdowns continue.”

There was little visible effect however from signs of yet another disruption to production in the Gulf of Mexico, where BHP, Chevron (NYSE:), Royal Dutch Shell (LON:) and BP (NYSE:) had all started to remove non-essential personnel from their platforms ahead of the likely arrival of Tropical Storm Zeta. The National Hurricane Center said it expected dangerous storm surges across the Yucatan peninsula in Mexico later Monday.

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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OPEC chief says rising infections may delay oil recovery By Reuters

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© Reuters.

By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) – OPEC’s secretary general said on Monday an oil market recovery may take longer than hoped as coronavirus inflections rise around the world, and OPEC and its allies would “stay the course” in balancing the market.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia made a record oil output cut in April as the pandemic hit demand. They are scheduled to increase output in January as part of a gradual easing of supply curbs.

OPEC’s Mohammad Barkindo, asked at the virtual India Energy Forum by CERAWeek if the second wave of the virus required any changes to OPEC+ strategy, said hopes earlier this year of a demand rebound had been disappointed.

“We were hopeful the second half of 2020 would begin to see a recovery,” Barkindo said. “Unfortunately, both the economic growth and demand recovery remain anaemic at the moment due largely to the virus.”

“We remain cautiously optimistic that the recovery will continue. It may take longer, maybe at lower levels, but we are determined to stay the course,” Barkindo added.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, speaking last Thursday, did not rule out extending the oil cuts for longer if market conditions warranted.

Barkindo said producers did not expect a renewed oil-price collapse as seen in the second quarter, when oil hit historic lows with briefly trading in negative territory.

OPEC+ producers had met an average of 100% of their supply cut commitments and would continue to implement the curbs so that inventories fall further, Barkindo said.

“We are determined to assist the market to restore stability by ensuring that the stock drawdowns continue.”

Disclaimer: Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. All CFDs (stocks, indexes, futures) and Forex prices are not provided by exchanges but rather by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual market price, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Therefore Fusion Media doesn`t bear any responsibility for any trading losses you might incur as a result of using this data.

Fusion Media or anyone involved with Fusion Media will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals contained within this website. Please be fully informed regarding the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, it is one of the riskiest investment forms possible.





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